DOI:10.18643/gieu.2013.29
"> DOI:10.18643/gieu.2013.29
"> DOI:10.18643/gieu.2013.29
"/> Live births trend in Romania: 2007-2025 alternative projection
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GINECOeu9(1)29-31(2013)
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Live births trend in Romania: 2007-2025 alternative projection

E.C.I. Bratu, D.G. Minca, F.L.G. Furtunescu, R.V. Costea


Abstract: The aim of the present study is to describe demographic trend of the number of live births in the period 2007-2025 while maintaining specific patterns of fertility and mortality by age group in starting year. To achieve the projected number of births expected in each of the years 2007-2025 we used the cohort-component method that can provide an indication of evolution of the future population. Fertile female quota deteriorates rapidly over the next years, with an average rate of deterioration of 46583 women/year. The number of live births should be a projected annual rate of decline of around 4000 live births. Appropriate public policies are needed in the near future to control the population decreasing.
DOI:10.18643/gieu.2013.29

Keywords: tility model, live births projections

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